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Rooftop solar panels on a single family home

Photo: Hans, via Pixabay

California · Modesto

Solar in Modesto: the city that is not on NEM 3.0

Written by the Solar Learning Lab research deskUpdated August 22, 202611 min read

Most California solar advice breaks the moment it crosses into Modesto. The city is served by Modesto Irrigation District, not PG&E. That means no CPUC Net Billing Tariff, no community choice generation layer, no Ava export bonus, and no generic NEM 3.0 calculation hiding behind a colorful savings chart. MID has its own rulebook. It pays a flat 7.6 cents per kWh for exported energy.

The difference is not academic. MID retail energy charges run far above 7.6 cents before riders, exports are netted hourly, excess is not banked, and the interconnection package is physically mailed or delivered with a $900 check. Here, system size should begin with self-consumption. Annual offset is the wrong north star.

Test a Modesto system size

Use the calculator as a first pass, then discount its results for exported energy. MID makes that second step mandatory.

Run the Modesto estimator

Modesto is not on NEM 3.0. It has a more direct, less forgiving trade.

MID is a publicly owned irrigation district established in 1887 and its electric territory covers greater Modesto and nearby communities. It is not a CPUC-jurisdictional investor-owned utility. So the state's Net Billing Tariff does not control a Modesto customer's new solar account. There is no reason to make a homeowner sit through a statewide NEM explainer before stating the local rule. MID's own history and service description is the starting point.

The current program is MID Net Metering 2.0. Energy used at the house offsets load at the retail rate. Residential production and usage are netted on an hourly basis. Any remaining excess generation does not reduce billed usage and does not sit in a bank for later. It becomes a negative dollar line on that billing cycle at $0.0760 per kWh. The MID NEM 2.0 schedule and solar FAQs say this without marketing language.

That makes Modesto a sizing discipline city. A kWh that runs an air conditioner, pool pump, dishwasher or EV load while the sun is out can displace retail energy. A kWh that leaves the property gets seven and a half cents. The panel count that looks heroic on an annual production graph can be an expensive way to create a small monthly credit. This is wrong when it is sold as “100 percent offset” without an hourly load discussion.

The local load profile is not trivial. Modesto City-County Airport has 3,214.7 cooling degree days at base 57, the highest cooling figure among this tranche's three Central and Bay Area cities. That makes a summer daytime load potentially valuable behind the meter. It does not mean every home has it. Retired occupants, work-from-home households, EV charging schedules and thermostat habits are all more useful data than a city average. NOAA's 1991-2020 normals show the climate condition, not the individual bill.

The 7.6-cent export price changes the solar design brief

Energy sourceTypeAverage priceWhat that means
MID Schedule D, summerfirst 500 kWh17.759¢ per kWhThe monthly fixed charge is $32. Energy above 500 kWh is 21.349¢ before listed riders.
MID Schedule D, winterfirst 500 kWh15.279¢ per kWhEnergy above 500 kWh is 18.249¢ before riders.
MID NEM 2.0export credit7.6¢ per kWhExcess is credited monetarily each billing cycle, not banked as energy.
Solar used in the homeretail displacement15.279¢ to 21.349¢+ per kWhIts value tracks the retail energy avoided, not the 7.6-cent export credit.

MID Schedule D and MID Net Metering 2.0. MID riders and the Power Cost Adjustment can alter the billed energy total, so these are not all-in bill rates.

The raw comparison puts the export rate at roughly two to 2.8 times lower than MID's listed retail energy charges, before the Conservation and Incentive Adjustment, Energy Efficiency Adjustment and Power Cost Adjustment. That gap is the whole game. A system that meets annual usage can still export a large share during mild spring days and earn the low credit. A smaller system matched to daytime use may produce less, cost less and make more economic sense.

Start with interval data if you can get it. If not, start with monthly bills and ask how the household behaves between late morning and late afternoon in May through September. Does the home have air conditioning load, a heat-pump water heater, a pool, flexible EV charging or a person home during the day? Those are useful load-matching questions. “How many panels can fit?” comes later.

MID allows systems up to 115 percent of demonstrated annual load with twelve months of service history. That is a ceiling, not a recommendation. The program also says grid-charged battery energy storage does not receive compensation for excess generation. Storage can still be considered for backup or solar self-use, but it is not an export arbitrage trick under this tariff. MID's solar program page and the NEM 2.0 schedule are clear on both points.

There is another unglamorous constraint: MID will not upsize a transformer or service to facilitate solar. A proposal that assumes a service upgrade must explain what is actually required and who has confirmed it. Small details like this separate a usable design from a spreadsheet system that only works before interconnection.

There are two paperwork tracks, and neither is instant.

At City Hall, residential PV uses Modesto's expedited solar path when it fits the checklist. The route covers roof-mounted, utility-interactive systems on one- or two-family dwellings at 10 kW AC CEC rating or less, without battery storage, subject to roof, loading, connection and inverter limits. A project outside those constraints falls out of the expedited lane. The City's submittal requirements are technical because the screen is technical.

Solar is not one of the self-issued online permits listed by the City. Applicants provide three plan copies at the counter or email electronic files under 10 MB to permits@modestogov.com. When a panel change or service upgrade is involved, electrical load calculations are required. The City's current published residential electrical photovoltaic permit fee is $333, effective July 1, 2025 through June 30, 2026. The City had not published a 2026-27 Building Safety fee sheet when the research was completed. Published City fee schedule.

MID is a separate clock. The interconnection fee is $900 for a system below 100 kW AC CSI rating per meter. The application package must be mailed or dropped at MID's downtown office. Electronic submissions are not accepted. The handbook describes one to three weeks for initial paperwork review, then one to three weeks for engineering review. The word “expedited” on the City side does not erase this utility process.

After the City or County inspection passes, the result needs to be less than six months old for MID. MID normally performs its interconnection inspection within 12 working days, then installs the generation meter. A failed MID inspection creates a $250 reinspection fee. The system must interconnect within a year of MID's acknowledgment, subject to a possible six-month extension. The May 2026 MID Solar Interconnection Handbook is worth reading before a contract turns these dates into your problem.

This is not a reason to avoid solar. It is a reason to sequence it correctly. Ask who prepares the physical package, who delivers it, when the $900 is due, who tracks the six-month inspection expiration and whether the price includes a failed-inspection return visit. A contractor who has done MID jobs should answer each one without pausing.

Modesto has productive roofs. That does not rescue oversized exports.

Our downtown model estimates 1,666.0 kWh per installed kW annually. The modeled curve rises from 88.5 in January to 173.5 in August, then drops to 84.9 in December. It pairs naturally with Modesto's hot season, which can be helpful when cooling demand overlaps the day. The point is overlap. A high-output August is only worth retail energy value to the extent the house can use it in the relevant hour.

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

August is the modeled peak at 173.5 kWh per kW. Under MID, the important follow-up is how much of that monthly output is used at home before the 7.6-cent export credit applies.

PVGIS v5.2 model run by Solar Learning Lab on August 22, 2026, NSRDB radiation database. Fixed south facing mount, 30 degree tilt, 14 percent losses, downtown Modesto coordinates. Your roof will differ. It comes from PVGIS. Fixed south-facing geometry is a consistent reference, not an instruction to ignore a good west roof or an existing shade pattern. Get a site-specific shade and layout study. Then ask the installer to express expected self-use and exports, not just gross annual kWh.

Modesto's housing base can make rooftop design feel easy. The Department of Finance estimates 54,222 single-detached units out of 78,627 total units, and 2,182 mobile homes. But MID requires permanently mounted systems on permanent structures, so not every roof category fits the same program assumptions. The state E-5 housing table and MID's handbook are a reminder to verify the actual property before setting expectations.

No MID rebate exists. Do not let a proposal imply one.

MID states directly that it does not offer solar rebates. Its residential solar offering is Net Metering 2.0; a separate feed-in tariff applies to systems from 30 kW to 3 MW. The City pages and published fee schedule show the standard permit charge, not a waiver. There is also no community choice aggregator here to add a battery rebate or export bonus. MID solar program is concise on the absence of a rebate.

SGIP is also not an MID option. The CPUC program is administered through the investor-owned utility territories, including PG&E territory, while Modesto is served by a publicly owned utility. There is no point putting a large battery incentive in a Modesto proposal unless the source is something other than SGIP and the installer can name it. The CPUC SGIP participation page explains its utility structure.

Federal incentives do not fill that hole for a homeowner buying in 2026. The residential 25D credit ended December 31, 2025. A lease or PPA provider may claim 48E, which is the provider's tax treatment, not a credit passed automatically to the customer. CRS IN12611 is the short primary-policy reference. In Modesto, the investment case needs to stand up before federal magic is added.

Four map results are not a complete contractor market

The list below contains four Google Maps results with at least 20 reviews. Two are in Oakdale, one in Salida and one in Modesto. That is a narrow local snapshot, not a ranking of every company capable of working under MID's rules. It does, however, give you a practical starting point for questions that matter here: self-consumption modeling, paper interconnection submittal and the $900 utility fee.

Solar Installation Group, Inc. logo

Solar Installation Group, Inc.

Oakdale, CA

4.8(291 Google reviews)

Radius Energy Inc logo

Radius Energy Inc

Salida, CA

4.6(40 Google reviews)

SunLectric

Oakdale, CA

5.0(25 Google reviews)

Mid-State Solar

Modesto, CA

4.8(20 Google reviews)

Ratings snapshot: Google Maps, August 2026, via the DataForSEO SERP feed. Zero companies paid us and none are endorsed by us.

Require comparable bids. Each should show system size, annual production, a stated estimate of onsite use, anticipated exported kWh, cash price, financed price, City permit treatment, MID interconnection fee treatment and electrical-service assumptions. A proposal that only shows a “utility offset” figure is not comparable under a flat 7.6-cent export tariff.

Use this calculator for scale, not for an MID true-up

This tool intentionally starts from MID's first-tier summer energy charge and local production. It still values generated energy like a retail offset, which makes it optimistic for production that is exported. That limitation is prominent because hiding it would be dishonest in Modesto. Use the system-size output as a question for bidders, then ask them to prove the self-consumption percentage.

$161
1,666

The top of the slider is our downtown Modesto PVGIS run. The lower setting is 85 percent of that output. Neither setting estimates how much production will be used in the home, which is the critical MID variable.

$2.46

Cash quotes in Modesto cluster near $2.46 per watt, against a $3.50 national 2024 median (LBNL). Use your quote.

Assumptions you can change
2.5%
7%
15
24c

Use the rate on your actual lease or PPA quote. There is no published statewide average we trust enough to hardcode.

2%
Estimated system: 6.5 kWAnnual usage: 10,879 kWhState credit: $0

Cash purchase

$15,990 after state credit

Year 1 benefit
$160/mo
Payback
8 years
20 year net position
$30,679

The calculator treats every generated kWh like a retail-rate offset. MID does not: exports receive 7.6 cents per kWh, cannot be banked and are credited each billing cycle. Size to self-consumption before treating this output as savings.

Solar loan

$214/mo 15 yr payment

Year 1 net
-$54/mo
Upfront
$0
20 year net position
$8,179

The loan price starts with the California market setting, not a Modesto quote. Demand a cash quote alongside any financing offer, then compare the payment with the value of the energy you will use at home.

Lease / PPA

$0 down you buy the power

Year 1 net
-$56/mo
Upfront
$0
20 year net position
-$13,370

A provider may claim the federal 48E business credit on a lease or PPA. MID's 7.6-cent export rate means the PPA production estimate needs to show self-consumption, not just annual generation.

Estimates, not quotes. The rate input is MID's summer first-tier energy charge before riders, while the calculator values all output at that rate. Actual MID exports are paid at 7.6 cents per kWh and are not banked. We are a solar installer and we also partner with other solar companies. See our disclosures.

We are a solar installer and we also partner with other solar companies.

Modesto solar questions that should come before a contract

Is Modesto on California NEM 3.0?
No. MID is a publicly owned utility with its own Net Metering 2.0 schedule, not a CPUC-jurisdictional investor-owned utility on the Net Billing Tariff. MID background.
What does MID pay for exported solar?
MID's published NEM 2.0 export credit is 7.6 cents per kWh. The excess is a monetary credit each billing cycle and is not banked. NEM 2.0 schedule.
What is the MID solar interconnection fee?
For systems under 100 kW AC CSI rating per meter, the handbook lists a $900 fee, paid by check with the application package. MID handbook.
Can I submit the MID solar application electronically?
No. MID says application packages must be mailed or dropped at its downtown office; electronic submissions are not accepted. MID handbook.
Does Modesto offer an instant solar permit?
We found no instant solar issue path. The City has an expedited process with a technical eligibility checklist, while solar is not listed among its online self-issue permits. City requirements.
Are there Modesto or MID solar rebates?
MID says it does not offer solar rebates, and the City's published solar permit materials show no city rebate or waiver. MID solar page.

Get a Modesto solar estimate that respects MID's rules

Tell us the bill range, roof conditions and financing preference. Use the result to request a self-consumption-first proposal.

What does your monthly electric bill look like?

Modesto average is $161 per month (EIA, 2024).